Model vs. Kalshi on all 16 openers Week 1 markets live now Free draft desk inside Claude, ChatGPT or Cursor 8 tools · no account Live game edges — model vs. Kalshi, ranked Gridiron Edge · 5-min refresh Correlation-aware Kalshi combos — free Options vs. Kalshi on weekly silver brackets Watch, read, and trade smarter — original prediction market analysis. FCS Week 0 Picks: 6 Market Plays | Invest in the FCS The Big Brother 28 Twist: Feeds are shut down, could this be the end for Dee and Devens?? Big Brother 28 Week 7: Taylor Is the Eviction Favorite at 47% — Can the Mosh Pit Hold? 2026 NFL Predictions, Big Brother Updates and More | Kalshi, Polymarket, Markets Advice Latest from the Oracles Built Fantasy at The Athletic as Managing Editor What We're Buying This Week: Sarah Jessica Parker, Scary Movie, and More Jun 4, 2026 Trump 2028? The Real Trump on the Ballot Might Be Don Jr. — A 5¢ Kalshi Thesis May 26, 2026 National sports broadcaster — SiriusXM, SportsGrid, SNY Big Brother 28 Twist: Live Feeds Are Down — What It Means for Dee and Devens on Kalshi Aug 28, 2026 Big Brother 28 Week 7 Odds: The Market Called the Veto Again — Mallory Flipped to Favorite While Dane Was Sweating Taylor Aug 25, 2026 Coach Gene Clemons Football coach and analyst — Fantasy Life, MEAC commentator Invest in the FCS Week 0: Coach Gene's Six Numbers, Graded — Friday Went 1-2, Saturday's Three Are Still on the Board Aug 29, 2026 Broncos, Jaguars, Steelers & Texans: 2026 Win Totals on Kalshi Aug 14, 2026 Christopher Manzo Serial entrepreneur — Bravo's Manzo'd with Children, BLK Beverages Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest 2026: Kalshi Odds, Joey Chestnut & Where the Value Is Jun 29, 2026 A Pledge To My Gut Feb 21, 2026 Written Analysis Aug 29, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi Half-PPR vs PPR vs Standard: What Actually Changes in 2026 (We Measured It) Everyone tells you scoring format matters. We ran all 153 draftable players through standard, half-PPR and full PPR to s… Aug 29, 2026 · Coach Gene Clemons Invest in the FCS Week 0: Coach Gene's Six Numbers, Graded — Friday Went 1-2, Saturday's Three Are Still on the Board Coach Gene Clemons launched Invest in the FCS with six Week 0 numbers priced straight off the prediction markets. Friday… Aug 28, 2026 · Dane Martinez Big Brother 28 Twist: Live Feeds Are Down — What It Means for Dee and Devens on Kalshi Kalshi had Dee Valladares at 20¢ and Rick Devens at 19¢ to win Big Brother 28 when the live feeds went dark for a twist… Aug 28, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi Fantasy Football Draft Order Ideas: The Best Ways To Decide Who Picks First Reverse standings, lottery odds, FAAB bidding, or a live wrestling match — every fair way to set your league's 2026 fant… Aug 27, 2026 · The 7 Oracles Noche UFC Odds & Prediction: Silva vs. Delgado — the Main Event Changed and the Number Barely Moved Noche UFC odds and predictions for Silva vs. Delgado, September 12 at Desert Diamond Arena. Yair Rodríguez is out, a #14… Aug 27, 2026 · The 7 Oracles UFC Paris Odds & Prediction: The Market Just Installed a Debutant as a 4-1 Favorite Over Dan Hooker UFC Paris odds and predictions for Hooker vs. Parnasse, September 5 at Accor Arena. Opening boards price UFC newcomer Sa… Aug 26, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi Fed Dot Plot September 2026: What Kalshi's KXDOTPLOT Market Is Pricing Kalshi lists a contract on the Fed's own forecast — the median year-end 2026 dot in the September Summary of Economic Pr… Aug 25, 2026 · Dane Martinez Big Brother 28 Week 7 Odds: The Market Called the Veto Again — Mallory Flipped to Favorite While Dane Was Sweating Taylor Dane had Taylor Brown as the 47% eviction favorite when he filmed — and hoped the board was wrong. A day later, Kalshi f… Aug 22, 2026 · The 7 Oracles Oracles Roundtable: 2026 NFL Sleepers, What to Actually Do With Them, and the Big Brother 28 Board The 7 Oracles roundtable from August 22, 2026 — Dane Martinez and Nando Di Fino on 2026 NFL sleepers and the gap between… Aug 21, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi We Rebuilt the NFL Power Ratings Board. Every Team Moved — Here's Why, and What the Tiers Mean. Our published NFL power ratings weren't getting the full offseason roster picture. We fixed it, re-ran the model, and al… Aug 21, 2026 · The 7 Oracles We Priced All 30 Premier League Legs Against ESPN's Line. None Are Underpriced — and the Reason Is Worth More Than an Edge. Every match-result contract on Kalshi's Premier League opening weekend, de-vigged against the DraftKings line ESPN publi… Aug 21, 2026 · The 7 Oracles Vikings at 18¢ on Kalshi: Why the NFC North's Cheapest Contract Is the Most Tradeable One The prediction markets are pricing Minnesota as the worst team in the NFC North. Dane Martinez and Nando Di Fino explain… Aug 20, 2026 · Dane Martinez Big Brother 28 Week 6 Odds: The Board Flipped on Dane Since He Filmed This — Haley's Now the Favorite, Not Kamu Dane called the Diamond Power of Veto before it aired and had Kamu Kirk as the 50¢ favorite to go home, with Haley Thogm… Aug 20, 2026 · The 7 Oracles PFL Tampa Odds & Prediction: The Board Posted on 11 of 12 — and Listed the Co-Main Twice PFL Tampa odds and predictions for Cris Cyborg vs. Ketlen Vieira, August 22 at Benchmark International Arena. FanDuel's… Aug 18, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi EV After Fees: What Kalshi Actually Charges and Where Your Real Breakeven Sits Kalshi's trading fee is not flat — it is 0.07 × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up per fill, which means it pea… Aug 18, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi How We Compute Edge: The Math Behind the EV Calculator Our EV calculator turns a Kalshi or Polymarket price and your probability estimate into one number. Here is the exact fo… Aug 18, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi EV vs Kelly: One Tells You Whether, the Other Tells You How Much Expected value and the Kelly criterion answer different questions, and confusing them is how accounts with a genuine edg… Aug 18, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi Where Your Probability Estimate Comes From (and Why It Decides Everything Downstream) Every edge calculation multiplies through one number you supply: your probability. Get it from a base rate and update it… Aug 15, 2026 · The 7 Oracles Oracles Roundtable: NFL Preseason Signal, 2026 Futures, Big Brother Evictions and Bitcoin Live The full 61-minute 7 Oracles roundtable from August 15, 2026 — Gene Clemons, Dane Martinez, Benny Ricciardi and Nando Di… Aug 14, 2026 · Coach Gene Clemons Broncos, Jaguars, Steelers & Texans: 2026 Win Totals on Kalshi Fade the Field Ep. 13 covered four AFC win totals, and the board comes back the opposite way to the rest of the series:… Aug 14, 2026 · Coach Gene Clemons 2026 NFL Win Totals: The Model vs. The Man on 18 Teams Across five episodes of Fade the Field, Coach Gene Clemons and Chris James put two independent projections on 18 of 32 N… Aug 13, 2026 · Coach Gene Clemons Cardinals at Raiders: Preseason Overs Are the Cleanest Edge on the Board Two quarterback competitions, a No. 1 overall pick the Raiders need to showcase, and two defenses whose improved starter… Aug 13, 2026 · Coach Gene Clemons Will the Lions Regress in 2026? The Regression Already Happened Detroit went 9-8, finished last in the NFC North, and recovered fumbles at the worst rate in the NFL. Coach Gene Clemons… Aug 12, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi Prediction Markets Beat the Pundits at the Top of the Ticket in 2024 — and Lost to Them Down Ballot Polymarket called the presidency before the models did. It also did worse than those same models on Congressional races.… Aug 11, 2026 · Dane Martinez Big Brother 28 Week 5 Odds: The 2¢ Won HOH — and Kalshi Still Prices a Nominee Above the Head of Household LaTrice Verrett went from 2¢ to Head of Household and Kalshi only moved her to 4¢. Barrett Pfeiffer is sitting on the bl… Aug 9, 2026 · The 7 Oracles AI Fantasy Draft Assistant: Plug Our 2026 Board Into Claude, ChatGPT Or Grok Your AI assistant can now run your fantasy draft against a real projection model — best available, ADP arbitrage across… Aug 6, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi How Kalshi's 15-Minute Markets Settle: Crypto vs Metals vs Index Crypto settles on CF Benchmarks, metals and WTI on Pyth — and the feed Kalshi names for 15-minute WTI has been dead sinc… Aug 6, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi Madden 27 vs Our NFL Power Ratings: Five Teams We Flatly Disagree On EA rates Jacksonville 26th. Our model rates them 6th. That 20-spot gap is the widest disagreement between Madden 27's la… Aug 6, 2026 · Dylan Ricciardi We Simulated the 2026 NFL Season 10,000 Times Using Only Madden 27 Ratings Ten thousand simulated seasons built from nothing but Madden 27 launch ratings — real NFL tiebreakers, real 2026 schedul… Aug 6, 2026 · Coach Gene Clemons NFC North Win Totals 2026: Lions, Bears, Packers & Vikings on Kalshi Four winning teams, one division, and nobody runs away with it. Coach Gene Clemons and Chris James run the 2026 NFC Nort… Aug 5, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi Kalshi Gold & Silver 15-Minute Markets: Pyth Settlement, Fees, and Fair Value Kalshi now lists an up-or-down gold and silver contract every 15 minutes, settling on Pyth 1-minute candle closes. How t… Aug 4, 2026 · Coach Gene Clemons Does LeBron Cherry-Pick His Teams? The Market Says He IS the Cherry LeBron doesn't pick contenders — he creates them, and prediction markets pay the premium in real time. Four moves, four… Aug 3, 2026 · Dane Martinez Big Brother 28 Winner Odds: LaTrice at 2¢ and Taylor at 5¢ Are the Value on Kalshi Dee Valladares is 27¢ to win Big Brother 28 and Rick Devens is 20¢ — the two players the house is hunting. LaTrice Verre… Aug 2, 2026 · The 7 Oracles Connect ChatGPT To Live Prediction-Market Edge Data (One URL, No Install) ChatGPT can call a prediction-markets quant desk directly — 24 tools for Kalshi and Polymarket analysis, including a com… Aug 2, 2026 · The 7 Oracles PFL Charlotte Odds & Prediction: Three Ranked Middleweights, One Night, and a Division Sorting Itself Out PFL Charlotte odds and predictions for Bryan Battle vs. Dalton Rosta, August 7 at Bojangles Coliseum. The FanDuel board… Jul 29, 2026 · Coach Gene Clemons NFL Win Totals 2026: Jets, Dolphins, Cardinals, Browns & Raiders on Kalshi Five 2026 NFL win totals nobody wants to touch — and the four the model says are priced too low. Coach Gene Clemons and… Jul 29, 2026 · The 7 Oracles PFL New York Odds & Prediction: One Coin Flip, One Fat Underdog, and a Friday Afternoon Nobody Is Watching PFL New York odds and predictions for Nurmagomedov vs. Colgan, July 31 at UBS Arena. The only true 51/49 on the board, w… Jul 26, 2026 · The 7 Oracles How To Use Claude To Analyze Kalshi Markets (Without Copy-Pasting Numbers) Connect Claude directly to a prediction-markets quant desk. One command wires up 24 tools — expected value, Kelly sizing… Jul 25, 2026 · The 7 Oracles LeBron to the 76ers: We Called It — Now Fade the Eastern Conference Bump The 7 Oracles predicted LeBron James to Philadelphia and we like the move — but the market just spiked the 76ers to the… Jul 24, 2026 · The 7 Oracles How To Automate Kalshi Trading With An Alerts API (The Non-Custodial Way) A practical guide to automating Kalshi trading off a real signal feed — the Edge Alerts API, an open-source non-custodia… Jul 24, 2026 · The 7 Oracles We Opened Our Weather Edge Feed To Robots We spent two years pricing the Kalshi weather markets against NWS forecasts. Now the whole edge feed — weather, commodit… Jul 22, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi Kalshi Pro Review (July 2026): A Flow Terminal That's Free — and Missing One Thing An honest beta review of Kalshi Pro: the Canvas workspace, the ~2,000-market screener, the live tape, and perpetuals wit… Jul 22, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi Kalshi Pro vs the Kalshi App: Same Account, Different Job — Which Should You Use? Kalshi Pro and the Kalshi app run on one account and settle the same contracts — so which do you open? A side-by-side on… Jul 22, 2026 · The 7 Oracles PFL Washington DC Odds & Prediction: Jean vs. Musaev for the Vacant Welterweight Belt PFL Washington DC prediction and odds for Thad Jean vs. Shamil Musaev, July 25 at CareFirst Arena. Two tournament champi… Jul 21, 2026 · Dane Martinez Jason De Puy at 38¢ to Get Evicted on Kalshi: The Backdoor Nobody's Pricing Kalshi has Jason De Puy at 38¢ to leave the Big Brother 28 house this week while Rome sits the 50¢ favorite as the backd… Jul 21, 2026 · Dane Martinez Texans at 43¢ to Win the AFC South on Kalshi: The Division's Best Roster Is Priced Like a Coin Flip Kalshi has Houston at 43¢ to win the 2026 AFC South while the projection systems make the Texans the class of the AFC. D… Jul 19, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi World Cup Final Best Play: Spain vs. Argentina — The Market Bought the Strangle, the Model Sees Goals Final day. Kalshi prices the Spain–Argentina winner market almost exactly on top of our simulation — Spain 43¢ against a… Jul 16, 2026 · Dane Martinez Kalshi Airport Delay Markets: You Can Now Trade Flight Cancellations (And I Have Concerns) Kalshi listed flight cancellation contracts, and they are not what the headlines say. The live market is one national we… Jul 15, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi How Cross-Platform Arbitrage Detection Works on Kalshi and Polymarket An arbitrage scanner is only as good as its gap test. Here's the exact mechanic behind cross-platform detection — the WA… Jul 15, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi What 'High Confidence' Means on the Mispricing Scanner Not every flag on the Mispricing Scanner is equal. HIGH CONFIDENCE is a three-part gate — an 8-point edge, a validated s… Jul 15, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi Spain vs. Argentina: The World Cup 2026 Final — Messi's Last Dance Against the Best Defense in the Tournament The final is set: Spain meet Argentina at MetLife Stadium on Sunday, July 19 at 3:00 PM ET. Spain arrive off a record si… Jul 15, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi Why Most Prediction-Market 'Arbitrage' Isn't Real A 12-point gap between Kalshi and Polymarket looks like free money. Usually it's a mirage — a look-alike market, a gap t… Jul 15, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi Why the Mispricing Scanner Fails Closed (and Never Makes Up a 50/50) When a signal is missing, most tools guess. The Mispricing Scanner does the opposite — a missing model estimate returns… Jul 14, 2026 · Coach Gene Clemons Patriots Over 10.5 Wins: A.J. Brown Is the Push, the AFC East Is the Cushion The market moved New England's 2026 win total from 9.5 to 10.5 the week A.J. Brown landed in Foxboro. Coach Gene's numbe… Jul 13, 2026 · Dane Martinez Texas Senate at a Coin Flip: Paxton vs Talarico on Kalshi (July 2026) Ken Paxton — not incumbent John Cornyn — is the Republican nominee, and the Texas Senate market has tightened to roughly… Jul 13, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi How Our NFL Player Projections Actually Perform vs. the Market — and Why We Only Publish Four Stat Types Everyone sells prop projections. Almost nobody grades them. We backtested ours across 10,161 graded player-weeks, walk-f… Jul 13, 2026 · Coach Gene Clemons Will the Seahawks Win 11 Games in 2026? Coach Gene on the Model vs. the Market The Seahawks are defending Super Bowl champs, yet the 2026 win total sits at just 10.5. Coach Gene Clemons breaks down T… Jul 12, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi World Cup Semifinals: The 7 Oracles' Best Plays for July 14–15 — France–Spain & England–Argentina The final four. France meet Spain in Dallas in a Euro 2024 semifinal rematch the market prices backwards — the model has… Jul 8, 2026 · Dane Martinez Why McConnell Isn't Resigning Before the Midterms — The Kalshi NO Case Kalshi's McConnell resignation market is spiking on health headlines. But the question is resignation, not health — and… Jul 8, 2026 · The 7 Oracles PFL Austin Odds & Prediction: Eblen vs. Kasanganay 2 on the Markets PFL Austin prediction and odds for Eblen vs. Kasanganay 2, July 18 at the Moody Center. The 2024 rematch, the interim mi… Jul 8, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi World Cup Friday: The 7 Oracles' Best Play for July 10 — Spain vs. Belgium The quarterfinals roll into Los Angeles with Spain against a Belgium side that put four past the USA — a higher-event ti… Jul 8, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi World Cup Saturday: The 7 Oracles' Best Plays for July 11 — Argentina–Switzerland & Norway–England A quarterfinal doubleheader: Argentina grind Switzerland in Kansas City while Haaland's Norway — fresh off knocking out… Jul 8, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi World Cup Thursday: The 7 Oracles' Best Play for July 9 — France vs. Morocco The quarterfinals open in Foxborough with France against the tournament's stingiest survivor, Morocco — a side that knoc… Jul 7, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi Argentina vs. Egypt: Messi, a Low Block, and the 61¢ Question Argentina are 68% favorites over Egypt in the Round of 16 — but the market's already there. The real price is Lionel Mes… Jul 7, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi World Cup Tuesday: The 7 Oracles' Best Plays for the July 7 Slate The Round of 16 closes with Messi's Argentina against an Egypt side that just defended its way past Australia, and a Swi… Jul 6, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi How We Find Edge on Kalshi Commodity Markets: The Options-vs-Market Methodology One framework prices silver, gold, oil, and bitcoin contracts on Kalshi: extract an independent probability from the mat… Jul 6, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi World Cup Monday: The 7 Oracles' Best Plays for the July 6 Slate Two Round of 16 heavyweights close out the last-16 slate. Dallas has the tie of the round — Portugal vs. Spain, the tigh… Jul 4, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi We Backtested 20 Years of Madden Ratings Against Real NFL Results Madden ratings get argued about every August and measured almost never. We ran 4,237 games, 2006–2025, walk-forward. Her… Jul 4, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi We Re-Ran the Sims After the Round of 32: Where Our Model and Kalshi Disagree on the Final 16 The Round of 32 is done, 16 teams are gone, and we re-ran the simulation conditioned on the actual bracket — not the pha… Jul 4, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi World Cup Saturday: The 7 Oracles' Best Plays for the July 4 Slate Round of 16 opens with two ties that read nothing alike. Houston has Morocco as the road favorite against a tiring Canad… Jul 4, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi World Cup Sunday: The 7 Oracles' Best Plays for the July 5 Slate Round of 16 Sunday is the marquee card of the round. East Rutherford has Brazil — the champion board's biggest value sid… Jul 3, 2026 · Dane Martinez Taylor Swift & Travis Kelce Wedding: Every Live Kalshi Market Worth Trading Dane Martinez runs down every live Kalshi market on the Swift-Kelce wedding — Married This Year at 98%, Jason Kelce the… Jul 2, 2026 · Gene Clemons LeBron's Next Team: Kalshi Just Flipped From Warriors to Cavs Overnight Gene Clemons breaks down the LeBron James next-team market on Kalshi after the announcement he's leaving the Lakers — th… Jul 2, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi World Cup Friday: The 7 Oracles' Best Plays for the July 3 Slate Four Round of 32 ties to close the round, and the cleanest edge is the quietest game: Australia–Egypt in Dallas, where M… Jul 1, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi World Cup Thursday: The 7 Oracles' Best Plays for the July 2 Slate A two-game Round of 32 Thursday, and the split is clean: Spain–Austria is the coronation, where the model prices a three… Jun 30, 2026 · The 7 Oracles Messi vs. Mbappé: The World Cup 2026 Golden Boot Race, Priced Kalshi's World Cup goal-leader market has collapsed into a two-man race — Lionel Messi at 46¢, Kylian Mbappé at 44¢, eve… Jun 30, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi World Cup Wednesday: The 7 Oracles' Best Plays for the July 1 Slate Three more Round of 32 ties, and the board's clearest mistake is in Atlanta, where it prices England–DR Congo like a nor… Jun 29, 2026 · Christopher Manzo Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest 2026: Kalshi Odds, Joey Chestnut & Where the Value Is Joey Chestnut is a 92¢ favorite to win the 2026 Nathan's Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest on Kalshi. Watch The 7 Oracles br… Jun 29, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi World Cup Tuesday: The 7 Oracles' Best Plays for the June 30 Slate Three more Round of 32 ties, and the table is gone — nobody is through, everybody has to win. The marquee name is Erling… Jun 28, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi World Cup Monday: The 7 Oracles' Best Plays for the June 29 Slate Three Round of 32 ties, and the knockout math changes the read: a draw just buys extra time and penalties, so every game… Jun 28, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi World Cup Sunday: The 7 Oracles' Best Plays for the June 28 Slate The Round of 32 opens with a single game, and it's a study in misdirection: South Africa are the bracket's home side on… Jun 27, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi World Cup Saturday: The 7 Oracles' Best Plays for the June 27 Slate Groups J, K and L close the group stage, and the table has already done half the work: Argentina, Colombia, Portugal and… Jun 26, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi World Cup Friday: The 7 Oracles' Best Plays for the June 26 Slate Groups G, H and I close the group stage, and the table has already sorted the board: France and Norway are both through… Jun 25, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi World Cup Thursday: The 7 Oracles' Best Plays for the June 25 Slate Groups D, E and F close the group stage, and three sides are already through, so half the board is dead chalk and the ot… Jun 24, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi PFL Prediction Markets: How to Trade MMA on Kalshi & Polymarket How to read Kalshi and Polymarket prices on PFL fights, method-of-victory contracts, and the World Tournament. Implied p… Jun 24, 2026 · The 7 Oracles PFL San Diego Odds & Prediction: McKee vs. Isbulaev on the Markets PFL San Diego prediction and odds for McKee vs. Isbulaev, June 27 at Pechanga Arena. What the Kalshi and Polymarket pric… Jun 24, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi World Cup Wednesday: The 7 Oracles' Best Plays for the June 24 Slate Groups A, B and C close the group stage on Wednesday, and the model and the board split hardest on Bosnia — priced 72¢ t… Jun 23, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi World Cup Tuesday: The 7 Oracles' Best Plays for the June 23 Slate Groups K and L play their second round and England vs. Ghana is already a control-of-the-group decider, with both sides… Jun 22, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi World Cup Monday: The 7 Oracles' Best Plays for the June 22 Slate Groups I and J play their second round and two of the four games are already control-of-the-group deciders. Argentina vs… Jun 21, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi World Cup Sunday: The 7 Oracles' Best Plays for the June 21 Slate Groups G and H run their second round, and the pre-tournament chalk is sitting on one point. Spain were held 0-0 by Cape… Jun 20, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi World Cup Saturday: The 7 Oracles' Best Plays for the June 20 Slate Groups E and F run it back. Germany and Ecuador headline as heavy chalk, but the cleanest edge is in Houston — Sweden le… Jun 19, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi World Cup Friday: The 7 Oracles' Best Plays for the June 19 Slate Groups C and D run it back. The USMNT headline Seattle and Brazil rolls in Philly — but the cleanest edge is the table f… Jun 18, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi How Kalshi Settles Bitcoin: The CF Benchmarks Real-Time Index, 60-Second Averaging, and Edge Cases Every Kalshi bitcoin contract — 15-minute to yearly — settles the same way: a 60-second average of the CF Benchmarks Bit… Jun 18, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi Kalshi Bitcoin 15-Minute Markets (KXBTC15M): How They Settle and Where the Edge Is KXBTC15M opens a fresh up/down bitcoin contract every quarter hour, 24/7. The exact settlement rule, why the 60-second a… Jun 18, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi Kalshi Bitcoin Markets by Frequency: 15-Min, Hourly, Daily, Weekly, Monthly — Which to Trade Kalshi runs bitcoin contracts at six cadences — 15-minute, hourly, daily, weekly, monthly, and yearly. They all settle o… Jun 18, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi World Cup Thursday: Benny's Best Plays for the June 18 Slate Groups A and B run it back. Mexico–Son and a 63% Switzerland headline — but the red cards already moved one game: South… Jun 17, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi World Cup Wednesday: Benny's Best Plays for the June 17 Slate Groups K and L open. Ronaldo and Kane headline — but the value's in the close ones: a true Ghana–Panama three-way and th… Jun 16, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi Is Polymarket Legal in the US? 2026 Rules + Regulated Alternatives Yes — Polymarket US has been live since December 2025 as a CFTC-regulated exchange, separate from Polymarket's internati… Jun 16, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi

World Cup Tuesday: Benny's Best Plays for the June 16 Slate Groups I and J open — star-striker day. The cleanest positions on a chalk-heavy Tuesday are Mbappé, Haaland and an Argen… Jun 14, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi Ivory Coast vs. Ecuador: A Coin Flip Priced as a Favorite Ecuador open as the market favorite over Ivory Coast in Philadelphia, but the model reads a near three-way coin flip, fa… Jun 14, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi World Cup Monday: Benny's Best Plays for the June 15 Slate FULL-TIME: Spain held 0-0 by Cape Verde — the tournament's biggest shock blows up the demolition call and cracks Group H… Jun 13, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi Australia vs. Turkey: A Fragile Favorite and a Live Draw Turkey open as the market favorite over Australia in Vancouver — but the model fades the price to 42%, likes the draw, a… Jun 13, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi World Cup Saturday: Benny's Best Plays for the June 13 Slate Three games, three positions. Embolo to score against Qatar, both teams to score in Brazil–Morocco, and the under in a S… Jun 13, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi World Cup Sunday: Benny's Best Plays for the June 14 Slate Five games, five positions. Sunday's board overprices favorites in three coin-flips — Turkey, Sweden, Ecuador — and that… Jun 9, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi Mexico vs. South Africa: The Market Read on the World Cup Opener Mexico open the 2026 World Cup as heavy home favorites (74%) over South Africa — Raúl Jiménez leads the line with Giméne… Jun 8, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi Brazil vs. Morocco: Clear Favorites, a Live Underdog, a BTTS Edge Ancelotti's Brazil open the World Cup as clear favorites (54%) over 2022 semifinalist Morocco — but the model's edge sit… Jun 8, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Best-Ever Squad Meets a Farewell Tour Canada open at home in Toronto as the model's clear favorite (53%) over Edin Dzeko's Bosnia-Herzegovina, with goals expe… Jun 8, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi South Korea vs. Czechia: Why the Market Says This One Stays Low South Korea edge a stubborn Czechia in the model (43%), but the high draw and the slate's lowest goal total point one wa… Jun 8, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi USA vs. Paraguay: Pulisic, a Home Crowd, and the Coach Nobody Wanted The USA open their home World Cup in Los Angeles as clear favorites (65%) over Paraguay. Why the model expects goals — a… Jun 5, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi Which 7 Oracles Tools Are Actually Winning? The Full Graded Scoreboard Every algorithmic engine we publish, graded in public — win rate, per-contract P/L, and Brier calibration, with the losi… Jun 4, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi KL Divergence: How to Tell a Real Mispricing From a Coincidence A 10-cent gap at 50¢ is not the same trade as a 10-cent gap at 90¢. KL divergence scores how far two prices actually dis… Jun 4, 2026 · Nando What We're Buying This Week: Sarah Jessica Parker, Scary Movie, and More This week's picks from The 7 Oracles: the obscure Kalshi market on what Sarah Jessica Parker says at Northwestern's comm… Jun 2, 2026 · The 7 Oracles The 7 Oracles Roundtable: Bitcoin Edge Live, World Cup Cash-Outs & NBA Championship Picks Benny, Nando, Coach Gene, and Dane around one table for an hour: a live demo of the Bitcoin Edge tool, the Myles Garrett… May 30, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi KC's Mahomes-Out-A-Few-Weeks Math: Kalshi Has Them at 10.5-Win Pricing Patrick Mahomes is likely out the first stretch of 2026. Our model has the half-season backup costing KC about a game an… May 29, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi Ancelotti's Brazil Isn't the Brazil the Market Is Pricing Carlo Ancelotti rebuilt Brazil around defensive solidity, Rodrygo's ACL gutted the attack, and Neymar made the cut on ex… May 28, 2026 · Gene & CJ Fade the Field Ep. 10: Knicks 30¢, Spurs 24¢, Dybantsa 80¢ — The Real Kalshi Numbers Round 2 of the 2026 NBA Playoffs is in the books and the live Kalshi tote board tells a different story than Twitter. Kn… May 26, 2026 · Nando Trump 2028? The Real Trump on the Ballot Might Be Don Jr. — A 5¢ Kalshi Thesis Donald Trump Jr. sits at 5¢ to be the 2028 Republican nominee on Kalshi while J.D. Vance and Marco Rubio carry the marke… May 25, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi Five QBs Kalshi Is Pricing at Literal Pennies for 2026 NFL MVP Sam Darnold at 3¢. Trevor Lawrence at 3¢. Drake Maye at 5¢. Stafford at 5¢. Jared Goff at 1¢. Our model says four of the… May 22, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi How to Trade Bitcoin Edge: Plain English, $25 Bankroll, and the Tool Doing the Math Bitcoin Edge in 30 seconds — Kalshi prices a yes/no bitcoin contract every hour. IBIT options price the same number a di… May 20, 2026 · Dane Martinez Wemby Finals MVP at 40¢ on Kalshi: The Spurs-Clinch Re-Rate Is Already Starting I called Victor Wembanyama Finals MVP at 37¢ on Kalshi yesterday. Twenty-four hours later the market is at 40¢. If San A… May 18, 2026 · Dane Martinez Get Off My Fantasy Football Lawn: The NFL 2026 Schedule Is Breaking Fantasy Football Dane Martinez on the NFL 2026 schedule: a Wednesday opener, nine international games, a five-day Thanksgiving slate, and… May 17, 2026 · Dane Martinez Drake YES at 73¢ on Kalshi: The Triple-Album Repricing Already Happened — Is There Still Edge? Kalshi has Drake at 73¢ to win Spotify USA Top Artist 2026. Two weeks ago he was 29¢ and Bad Bunny was the 68¢ favorite.… May 16, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi Bitcoin Edge: The 7 Kalshi Settles a Day Worth Trading Kalshi's KXBTCD market settles a new bitcoin contract every hour, around the clock. Only seven of those settles per week… May 16, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi Kalshi Bitcoin vs Spot vs Options-Implied: Three Bitcoin Probabilities, Three Different Answers Kalshi KXBTCD, Pyth spot, and IBIT options-implied probability are three pricing channels on the same underlying bitcoin… May 14, 2026 · Dane Martinez Marjorie 'Traitor' Greene at 38¢: Dane's Call on Trump's Next Nickname (Kalshi) Donald Trump has built an entire vocabulary out of nicknames — and Kalshi has a live market on the next one. Dane Martin… May 14, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi Buy the Fear, Skip the Hike: The 2¢ Kalshi Fed Trade Nobody's Watching $25 into $100 in 4 weeks. Kalshi's June FOMC Hike 25bps contract sits at 2¢ while CPI runs hot, payrolls grind, WTI hits… May 13, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi WTI Contract Rollover Explained — Why Kalshi Oil Markets Pause Three Days a Month Every month, Kalshi rolls its WTI settlement contract two days before CME's Last Trading Day. Here's the mechanic, the b… May 12, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi The Live Longshot Scanner: How We Hunt Mispriced Longshots the Crowd Wrote Off Most longshot contracts are dusty Beanie Babies. A few are the real ones. Here's how the Live Longshot Scanner tells the… May 12, 2026 · Dane Martinez The Hantavirus Trade: Kalshi's Pandemic Contract at 15¢ Is a Media-Frenzy Buy Kalshi has 'Pandemic in 2026' at 15¢ YES while the hantavirus story builds — cruise-ship cluster, CDC Level 3, nine stat… May 9, 2026 · Coach Gene Clemons Breaking Down the WNBA Rookie of the Year Odds: Lauren Betts, Azzi Fudd and More Four rookies have a real path to WNBA ROY honors. Gene reads the Kalshi orderbook on Fudd, Miles, Betts, and Flau'jae Jo… May 7, 2026 · Nando Spencer Pratt for LA Mayor: Polls vs. Kalshi's Read UCLA's poll has Spencer Pratt 2nd for LA mayor; Kalshi's $3M market has him 3rd at 18%. Where polls and prediction marke… May 6, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi Gold Is Going Higher — and the Options Market Already Knows It Oil is cratering today. The options market is pricing gold above $4,853 at 26–33% probability. Kalshi has it at 2–6 cent… May 6, 2026 · Dane Martinez Michael Jackson 'No' at 40¢ on Kalshi: A 2.5x Spotify Global #1 Trade for May Kalshi has Michael Jackson at 60¢ to land a #1 song on Spotify Global in May. The biopic bump put Billie Jean at #9 and… May 3, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi Will Ice Spice Attend the 2026 Met Gala? Kalshi & Polymarket Predictions Ice Spice is sitting at roughly 10% on Kalshi's Met Gala attendance market — and we think that's a steal. Here's why the… May 1, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi Did Prediction Markets Predict the 2024 Election? A State-by-State Accuracy Audit Polymarket had Trump at 61% the night before. Polls had a coin flip. Here's the honest state-by-state accuracy scorecard… Apr 30, 2026 · Nando Musk vs. OpenAI at 52¢: Why I'm Taking YES I worked at CourtTV for five years. Trials almost never happen. This one is. And the Kalshi market is already giving us… Apr 30, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi Silver Edge: How Options-Implied Probability Reveals Mispricings on Kalshi's Weekly Silver Market Every Friday at 5pm EDT, Kalshi settles weekly silver on a deterministic XAG/USD spot oracle. SLV options price the same… Apr 29, 2026 · Dane Martinez Todd Blanche at 55¢ Is the Smart Pick for Trump's Next AG on Kalshi Pam Bondi is out. Todd Blanche is sitting in the chair as acting AG and recent reporting calls it 'his job to lose.' Kal… Apr 28, 2026 · Gene & CJ Fade the Field Ep. 7: OROY Value, the 2027 #1 Pick Trade & Why LSU Is the CFB Buy Four prediction markets, one episode. Jeremiah Love at 27¢ for Offensive Rookie of the Year. Jeremiah Smith at 9¢ for th… Apr 28, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi France Takes the Throne: How the Market Just Made Les Bleus the 2026 World Cup Favorite France has overtaken Spain as the World Cup 2026 favorite on prediction markets, with nearly $3M in single-day Polymarke… Apr 28, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi Oil Hit $100 Today. The UAE Story Is Noise. Here's the Trade. WTI crude crossed $100 this morning for the first time since April 13th. Kalshi is pricing only a 39% chance it holds th… Apr 27, 2026 · Dane Martinez 2026 NFL OROY Sleepers: Fading Mendoza & Love, Buying Tate (17%) and Price (12%) Dane Martinez breaks down the 2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year market. Mendoza to Raiders and Love to Cardinals are… Apr 25, 2026 · Nando WHCD 2026: A 7¢ Kalshi Play With $134 Upside If Trump Says 'Epstein' Trump speaks at the White House Correspondents' Dinner tonight for the first time as president. Here's the Kalshi 'What… Apr 25, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi WHCD 2026: A Hardcore Portfolio Read on the Kalshi 'What Will Trump Say' Market — With Kelly Sizing 47 outcomes. $871k of volume. One prepared speech he's never given before. Here's the full edge map on Kalshi's KXTRUMPM… Apr 24, 2026 · Dane Martinez Spurs at 12% to Win the NBA Championship: Dane’s Play of the Day The Spurs are trading at 12¢ on Kalshi to win the 2026 NBA Championship. Dane Martinez breaks down why that’s the best v… Apr 24, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi 8 Teams, 72 Open Kalshi Markets: The Day 2 NFL Draft Trade Nobody's Making Yet Eight franchises skipped Round 1 entirely. Their first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft happens Friday night — and Kalshi's po… Apr 23, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi 2026 NFL Draft — Oracle Reads: Live Kalshi Market Snapshot (Draft Night) Live Kalshi market snapshot from draft night. Mendoza is a lock at 99¢ ($1.38M volume). Bain Jr. at 98¢, Styles at 93¢,… Apr 23, 2026 · Gene Caleb Banks at 27¢: Why Kalshi Is Sleeping on a 1st-Round DT Late-round DT-needy teams, tape that holds up, and an orderbook that already has sharp money stacked in the 28–30¢ range… Apr 23, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi 2026 NFL Draft: The Market Moved All Day — Here Are the 10 Biggest Kalshi Swings Before Kickoff We pulled the Kalshi orderbook at 10:45am ET and again at 3pm. Ten market leaders changed. Carnell Tate rocketed +39¢ to… Apr 22, 2026 · Dane Martinez 2026 NFL Draft: Jeremiyah Love to the Titans at #4 — One of the Best Edges on the Board Kalshi 36%. DraftKings -105 (in from -120). FanDuel +115. Dane Martinez breaks down why Jeremiyah Love at #4 to the Tita… Apr 21, 2026 · Nando American Idol Season 24: Why a 1¢ longshot has captured our attention Analysis of American Idol Season 24 prediction markets reveals why one underdog contestant at 1¢ odds is worth watching… Apr 20, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi 2026 NFL Draft Market Movement: Love, Tyson, Reese & the Bailey Lotto Ticket Four live market moves from the 2026 NFL Draft board — Jordan Love climbing to #3, Jordyn Tyson pricing in as WR2, Arvel… Apr 20, 2026 · Dane Martinez Drake's ICEMAN: Central Cee YES at 67¢ Is the Cleanest 1.4x on the Board Kalshi has Central Cee at ~67¢ to appear on Drake's ICEMAN. Between 'Which One,' the Iceman livestream, and a decade of… Apr 20, 2026 · Nando How 'The Mandalorian and Grogu' Can Get 90+ on Rotten Tomatoes Analyzing prediction markets for The Mandalorian and Grogu's Rotten Tomatoes score. Why the film could hit 90+ despite 5… Apr 18, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi Bayesian Reasoning in Prediction Markets: How Sharp Traders Update Their Beliefs Updated April 2026. Sharp prediction-market traders don't flip their views on every news headline. They update with Baye… Apr 18, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi Kalshi vs Polymarket Arbitrage: Find Price Gaps in 2026 Updated April 2026. When Kalshi and Polymarket price the same event differently, one of them is wrong. Here's how to use… Apr 18, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi How Do Combos Work on Kalshi? How Kalshi combos work: built leg by leg, priced by live RFQ rather than multiplying the legs. Why yours shows "payout u… Apr 18, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi How Prediction Markets Work: A Complete Guide for Traders (2026) Prediction markets are event derivatives that pay $1 if your outcome hits and $0 if it does not. Here is how the mechani… Apr 18, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Is Better in 2026? A direct, 2026-current comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket — regulatory status, fees, market depth, US access, sports co… Apr 18, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi World Cup 2026 Prediction Markets Guide: Where and How to Trade the Tournament Full prediction-market guide to the 2026 FIFA World Cup: where to trade, what markets exist, Kalshi vs Polymarket covera… Apr 12, 2026 · Dane What (and Who) We're Buying This Week This week's top prediction market picks: Cirie for Survivor, Tom Steyer for California Governor, and more trading opport… Apr 7, 2026 · Dane Martinez How We're Trading Trump's Cabinet Chaos on Kalshi and Other Prediction Markets We're on YES at around 61% that Trump makes another cabinet change this month on Kalshi — targeting 1.5–1.6x. Noem and B… Apr 7, 2026 · Coach Gene Fade the Field Ep. 4: NCAA Championship, WNBA #1 Pick, NBA ROY & All-Pro Breakdown Coach Gene breaks down Michigan's NCAA title run, the WNBA #1 pick debate between Fudd and Fam, the Flagg vs. Knueppel N… Apr 5, 2026 · Dane Martinez Are Gas Prices Headed for a Massive Spike? Prediction Market Breakdown Dane Martinez dives into the energy landscape — WTI crude past $110, geopolitical supply risks, and where the smart mone… Apr 3, 2026 · The 7 Oracles Next Attorney General: Lee Zeldin at 60¢ — Bayesian Edge Analysis Zeldin moved from 3% to 68% in 48 hours. Our Bayesian framework says Kalshi's 60¢ is still underpriced — fair value is 7… Apr 2, 2026 · Dane Martinez Bondi Out as AG: Polymarket 77%, Kalshi 48-56% — The Cross-Platform Spread Polymarket: 77% next to leave cabinet. Kalshi: 48-56%. The same event, 20+ points apart. Dane Martinez breaks down the B… Apr 1, 2026 · Gene Clemons Oklahoma vs Colorado: Prediction Market Play of the Day Gene Clemons breaks down the Oklahoma vs Colorado prediction market matchup. Full video analysis on where the value sits… Apr 1, 2026 · The 7 Oracles An Outerspace Edge? Trump speaks on Iran tonight. NASA launches Artemis II at 6:24 PM ET. One prediction market angle nobody is pricing: wha… Mar 31, 2026 · Dane Martinez Taylor Swift & Travis Kelce Wedding Location: Rhode Island at 47% Is the Play Rhode Island trades at 47% (1.97x payout) on Kalshi for the Swift-Kelce wedding location. Dane Martinez breaks down why… Mar 31, 2026 · The 7 Oracles Polymarket Whale Playbooks: How 3 Wallets Run Taleb, Simons, and Soros Strategies Three whale archetypes — Taleb's barbell, Simons' quant engine, Soros' macro thesis — mapped to prediction markets, and… Mar 30, 2026 · Dane Martinez 2026 NFL Draft: Arvell Reese to the Jets at #2 — Is the Prediction Market Price Right? Arvell Reese leads the 2026 NFL Draft #2 overall pick market at 63% on Polymarket and -140 on Kalshi. Is the Jets pick a… Mar 29, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi 2026 NCAA Final Four Odds, Matchups & Picks Championship futures, spreads, and moneylines for the 2026 NCAA Final Four in Indianapolis. Arizona is the favorite — he… Mar 25, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi DraftKings Prediction Market Picks — Week of March 24, 2026 Benny Ricciardi's DraftKings prediction market picks for the week of March 24, 2026 — EV-positive contracts, Kelly sizin… Mar 25, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi DraftKings Prediction Markets: The Complete Guide (2026) Everything you need to know about trading DraftKings prediction markets in 2026 — how they work, where the edge is, and… Mar 24, 2026 · Coach Gene Clemons (Orunmila) Hooperpalooza: A Thorough Rundown of Everything Basketball Houston at 8.55x, Michigan State at 31.2x, and the Lakers 55-win market at 13.3x. Coach Gene Clemons breaks down March M… Mar 22, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi Bayesian Mispricing: The Spec in Plain English How the Polymarket Mispricing Scanner uses two AI agents, a Bayesian swarm, and Kelly sizing — explained without the mat… Mar 22, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi I Saw a Twitter Thread About an Options Trader Who Cracked Polymarket — So I Built the Tool A fired options trader opened Polymarket and immediately saw what nobody else was seeing: the whole market ignores time.… Mar 22, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi How the Polymarket Mispricing Scanner Works Every morning a two-agent Bayesian swarm scans Polymarket for mispricings. Here's exactly what it does, why it works, an… Mar 18, 2026 · The 7 Oracles The Wild "Sadie Sink/Jean Grey" Roller Coaster A $16,982 Kalshi market swung from NO to YES at 91% on a Spider-Man trailer drop. Here's the cash-out story and what the… Mar 18, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi Base Rates: The Starting Point Every Prediction Market Trader Ignores Before you analyze any specific prediction market, you need a base rate. Here's how historical frequency data anchors yo… Mar 18, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi Expected Value Is the Only Number That Matters in Prediction Markets Every prediction market trade is a probability call. If you're not calculating expected value before you click, you're g… Mar 18, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi Kelly Criterion for Prediction Markets: Sizing Calculator + Examples The Kelly Criterion is the mathematically optimal position sizing formula for any positive-EV trade. Here's how to apply… Mar 17, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi Crypto Prediction Markets: Trading Bitcoin and Ethereum on Kalshi How to trade crypto prediction markets on Kalshi — Bitcoin price targets, ETH milestones, and how crypto markets compare… Mar 17, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi Macro Prediction Markets: Trading Fed Rates, Inflation, and GDP on Kalshi How to trade macroeconomic prediction markets on Kalshi — Fed rate decisions, CPI inflation, GDP growth, and recession p… Mar 17, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi MLB Prediction Markets: Trading Baseball on Kalshi How to trade MLB prediction markets on Kalshi — World Series odds, division winners, game outcomes, and player awards. Mar 17, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi NBA Prediction Markets: Kalshi vs Polymarket for Basketball Betting How to trade NBA prediction markets on Kalshi and Polymarket — player props, game outcomes, and championship odds compar… Mar 17, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi NFL Prediction Markets: How to Trade Football on Kalshi Everything you need to know about NFL prediction markets on Kalshi — Super Bowl odds, game winners, player props, and co… Mar 17, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi Politics Prediction Markets: Kalshi vs Polymarket for Political Events How to trade political prediction markets — elections, legislation, Fed decisions, and more. Kalshi vs Polymarket compar… Mar 17, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi Soccer Prediction Markets: Trading Football on Kalshi and Polymarket How to trade soccer prediction markets — World Cup, Champions League, Premier League, and MLS on Kalshi and Polymarket. Mar 15, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi DraftKings Predictions Review 2026: Honest Pros, Cons, and Best Use Cases An honest, detailed review of DraftKings Predictions — what works, what does not, how it compares to Kalshi and Polymark… Mar 15, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi FanDuel Predicts Review 2026: Pros, Cons, and State Availability An honest review of FanDuel Predicts — how it works, state availability, how it compares to Kalshi and DraftKings, and w… Mar 15, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi Kalshi vs Polymarket for Sports Markets: Liquidity, Depth, and Quality Compared A detailed comparison of sports market quality on Kalshi versus Polymarket — covering liquidity, market depth, available… Mar 15, 2026 · Benny Ricciardi Reading Kalshi Like a Bond Desk: Prediction Markets as Derivatives How a bond trading background reframes prediction markets as mispriced probability instruments. The framework I use to f… Mar 14, 2026 · The 7 Oracles Beware the Maxx Crosby "Next Team" Fine Print The Maxx Crosby market doesn't close until Nov 30, 2026 — which means "no" on Stays with Raiders at $61 for $20 is the s… Mar 9, 2026 · The 7 Oracles The SNL Host Market is Underrated Fun Kalshi's SNL host market has $255K in volume. Sydney Sweeney at 16 cents and Sarah Silverman at 26 cents are the plays —… Feb 26, 2026 · The 7 Oracles The Curious Case of Scream 7 The Scream 7 Rotten Tomatoes market collapsed to 48% after production chaos. Meanwhile, Baltimore at 7 cents to win the… Feb 22, 2026 · Coach Gene Clemons (Orunmila) How Many "Sinners" at the Oscars? Sinners got 16 Oscar nominations. "Exactly 5" wins is trading at 12 cents — a 7.5:1 payout with a realistic path through… Feb 21, 2026 · Chris Manzo A Pledge To My Gut Chris Manzo's gut-check column: Wembanyama quadruple double at 8 cents, Alcaraz 3+ Grand Slams at 48 cents, and Leo DiCa… Feb 20, 2026 · The 7 Oracles The Talarico Margin, the Alysa Liu Fumble, and the SOTU A Texas Senate margin play at 17 cents, a missed figure skating gold at 28 cents, and the Barron Trump SOTU market. Thre… Same underlying, two pricing channels. Bitcoin Edge surfaces the gap between IBIT options-implied probability and every active Kalshi bitcoin strike — live edge calculations, updated in real time. When the two markets disagree, that's your entry. Combo Edge Builder Live-priced combos with a 7-tier verdict The daily market brief — movers, whys, what's next Kalshi↔Polymarket gaps, scanned for you Is this contract actually +EV? 10 seconds Survivor 50: Our Predictions on Who Will Win plus The New Mt. Rushmore Survivor 50 Chaos: Rise of the Rizgod and the Ultimate Devens Kalshi Hedge Survivor 50 Recap: We Love Rick Devens (even if Kalshi doesn't) Never miss an edge Get prediction market analysis, picks, and tools delivered free — join thousands of traders who read PredictionMarketsPicks every week. Frequently Asked Questions What is The 7 Oracles? The 7 Oracles is the analysis brand from PredictionMarketsPicks. It covers prediction market movements, mispricing opportunities, and cross-platform edges through written columns, a podcast, and video breakdowns. The team's video breakdowns, written picks, and podcast episodes are all published at predictionmarketspicks.com/7-oracles. Who are The 7 Oracles analysts? Featured analysts include Nando Di Fino (built Fantasy at The Athletic as Managing Editor), Dane Martinez, Coach Gene Clemons, and Christopher Manzo, alongside the wider PredictionMarketsPicks team. How often is new content published? New video, podcast, and written analysis is published weekly — sometimes more frequently around major events like elections, championship games, and breaking news markets. Which prediction markets do you cover? The 7 Oracles covers Polymarket, Kalshi, DraftKings Prediction Markets, FanDuel, Robinhood, and other legal U.S. and international prediction market platforms. Is The 7 Oracles free? Yes. All video and podcast content is free, and written analysis is free via the newsletter. Free tools like the Combo Edge Builder and EV Calculator are available at predictionmarketspicks.com/tools.