Correlation-aware Kalshi combos — free Model vs. Kalshi on all 16 openers Week 1 markets live now Free draft desk inside Claude, ChatGPT or Cursor 8 tools · no account 34 of the 35 U.S. Senate seats on the 2026 ballot have a tradeable Kalshi contract, and 14 of those 34 are returning live prices on this refresh. Louisiana is the lone seat with no market at all — listed as an empty shell with nothing priced. The ballot: 33 regular Class 2 seats plus two Class 3 specials — Ohio (the Vance seat, now held by appointee Jon Husted) and Florida (the Rubio seat, now held by appointee Ashley Moody). Fifteen states have no 2026 Senate race. A seat with no live card below is not a seat we dropped. Every defined race renders whether or not the venue answered, so the board can never quietly shrink to whatever came back. 33 Class 2 + 2 specials tradeable contract exists of 34 market-backed The Board — Sorted by Competitiveness Tightest races first — a leading price near 50¢ is the market saying it genuinely does not know. Cards without prices are seats whose contracts returned nothing on the last refresh; they stay on the board with an honest badge rather than disappearing. 2966k contracts traded · 2091k open 797k contracts traded · 464k open 989k contracts traded · 659k open 443k contracts traded · 337k open 68k contracts traded · 55k open 1185k contracts traded · 811k open 114k contracts traded · 54k open 106k contracts traded · 91k open 8.9k contracts traded · 5.8k open 16k contracts traded · 11k open 8.8k contracts traded · 8.1k open 34k contracts traded · 16k open 9.2k contracts traded · 7.7k open 18k contracts traded · 12k open Rating: Likely R No priced contracts came back on the last refresh. The seat is on the 2026 ballot and the market is listed — it reprices as traders return. No priced contracts came back on the last refresh. The seat is on the 2026 ballot and the market is listed — it reprices as traders return. No priced contracts came back on the last refresh. The seat is on the 2026 ballot and the market is listed — it reprices as traders return. No priced contracts came back on the last refresh. The seat is on the 2026 ballot and the market is listed — it reprices as traders return. No priced contracts came back on the last refresh. The seat is on the 2026 ballot and the market is listed — it reprices as traders return. No priced contracts came back on the last refresh. The seat is on the 2026 ballot and the market is listed — it reprices as traders return.

No priced contracts came back on the last refresh. The seat is on the 2026 ballot and the market is listed — it reprices as traders return. Rating: Likely D No priced contracts came back on the last refresh. The seat is on the 2026 ballot and the market is listed — it reprices as traders return. No priced contracts came back on the last refresh. The seat is on the 2026 ballot and the market is listed — it reprices as traders return. No priced contracts came back on the last refresh. The seat is on the 2026 ballot and the market is listed — it reprices as traders return. No priced contracts came back on the last refresh. The seat is on the 2026 ballot and the market is listed — it reprices as traders return. No priced contracts came back on the last refresh. The seat is on the 2026 ballot and the market is listed — it reprices as traders return. Rating: Toss-up No priced contracts came back on the last refresh. The seat is on the 2026 ballot and the market is listed — it reprices as traders return. No priced contracts came back on the last refresh. The seat is on the 2026 ballot and the market is listed — it reprices as traders return. No priced contracts came back on the last refresh. The seat is on the 2026 ballot and the market is listed — it reprices as traders return. No priced contracts came back on the last refresh. The seat is on the 2026 ballot and the market is listed — it reprices as traders return. No priced contracts came back on the last refresh. The seat is on the 2026 ballot and the market is listed — it reprices as traders return. Rating: Toss-up No priced contracts came back on the last refresh. The seat is on the 2026 ballot and the market is listed — it reprices as traders return. No priced contracts came back on the last refresh. The seat is on the 2026 ballot and the market is listed — it reprices as traders return. No priced contracts came back on the last refresh. The seat is on the 2026 ballot and the market is listed — it reprices as traders return. No priced contracts came back on the last refresh. The seat is on the 2026 ballot and the market is listed — it reprices as traders return. Seat-by-Seat Inventory — All 35 The audit itself: every seat on the 2026 ballot, its holder going in, the published rating, and whether a market exists to price it. Seats with a dedicated breakdown link through to it. 2026 Senate markets — frequently asked Which 2026 Senate races have prediction markets? 34 of the 35 Senate seats on the 2026 ballot have a tradeable Kalshi contract, including the two Class 3 specials — Ohio, for the seat JD Vance vacated, and Florida, for Marco Rubio's. The full seat-by-seat table on this page names every one, with the coverage flag we read off the live book rather than off a press release. Which 2026 Senate seats have no market at all? One seat: Louisiana (Bill Cassidy). The listing exists as an empty shell with no priced contracts, so there is nothing to trade and nothing to read. We re-probe it on a schedule and it flips to a live card here the moment real quotes appear. This is the sort of gap a venue never advertises about itself, which is exactly why it is worth publishing. How many Senate seats are up in 2026? 35 — the 33 regular Class 2 seats plus two Class 3 special elections in Ohio and Florida, each filling a seat vacated mid-term and now held by an appointee. 15 states have no 2026 Senate race at all: Arizona, California, Connecticut, Hawaii, Indiana, Maryland, Missouri, Nevada, New York, North Dakota, Pennsylvania, Utah, Vermont, Washington, Wisconsin. Their Class 1 and Class 3 seats are not on this ballot. What does a "thin market" flag mean here? That a contract is listed and quoted but is not carrying real two-way interest — no recent 24-hour volume, or open interest under our floor. A thin price is still a price, but it reflects whoever last posted a quote rather than a crowd, so we label it instead of letting it sit next to a heavily traded race as though the two carry the same weight. Safe seats are thin for the honest reason that there is nothing left to argue about. Are Senate contract prices the same as a poll? No, and the difference is the point. A contract at 60 cents is real money assigning a 60 percent chance, repriced continuously by traders who lose if they are wrong; a poll is a sample of stated intention at one moment. They disagree often, and where they do we show the gap rather than picking a winner — the Markets vs Pundits board puts each live Senate price next to the most recent published rating from a named forecaster. Get The 7 Oracles newsletter — midterm market alpha, free No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.